0x282E29ba8b717C9941f49e40d6cd7970aeE4e8e6-1775340610819
0x282e29ba8b717c9941f49e40d6cd7970aee4e8e6
- Realised P&L
- $1.9k
- Volume
- $89.4k
- Markets traded
- 125
- Open portfolio
- $5.0k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded125
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$601.61at 0.851Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$476.61at 0.887Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$221.35at 0.886US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$108.52at 0.826Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
- +$100.62at 0.863US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 05:42 | Will Carlos Jordy win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election? | BUY | 0.75 | $46.50 |
| 09-23 05:40 | Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | SELL | 0.919 | $45.95 |
| 09-23 05:27 | Will Carlos Jordy win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election? | BUY | 0.74 | $12.58 |
| 09-23 05:24 | Will Sílvia Cristina win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election? | BUY | 0.72 | $5.14 |
| 09-23 05:22 | Will Sílvia Cristina win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election? | BUY | 0.72 | $66.45 |
| 09-23 05:22 | Will Sílvia Cristina win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election? | BUY | 0.71 | $4.89 |
| 09-23 05:20 | Will Esperidião Amin win the second-most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election? | BUY | 0.75 | $27.00 |
| 09-22 17:00 | Will Marina JHC win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election? | BUY | 0.735 | $15.44 |
| 09-22 16:59 | Will Marina JHC win the most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election? | BUY | 0.734 | $4.40 |
| 09-22 16:54 | Will Carol de Toni win the second-most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election? | BUY | 0.87 | $13.38 |
| 09-22 05:22 | Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.82 | $16.40 |
| 09-21 21:41 | Will Nicoletti win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election? | BUY | 0.77 | $82.62 |
| 09-21 21:39 | Will Nicoletti win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election? | BUY | 0.768 | $21.93 |
| 09-21 21:35 | Will Manuela D'Ávila win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election? | SELL | 0.88 | $99.26 |
| 09-21 21:32 | Will Humberto Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election? | SELL | 0.887 | $6.83 |