PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x282E29ba8b717C9941f49e40d6cd7970aeE4e8e6-1775340610819

0x282e29ba8b717c9941f49e40d6cd7970aee4e8e6

Realised P&L
$1.0k
Volume
$68.2k
Markets traded
60
Open portfolio
$5.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded60
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.5770.496$1.1k$175.55
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · No0.8600.830$581.00$21.00
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.9400.935$328.28$1.75
Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? · Yes0.0990.053$295.10$248.26
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.8640.875$286.22+$3.61
Will Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? · No0.8400.780$229.66$17.67
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.8340.720$226.92$36.00
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? · No0.8600.910$212.03+$11.65
Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? · No0.8700.905$209.96+$8.12
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9570.977$204.19+$4.18
Will Teariki Heather be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? · No0.9080.994$196.56+$16.80
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.8210.860$177.49+$7.85
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.8150.826$165.20+$2.20
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4410.345$156.31$43.69
Will William Clouston get second place in the Clacton by-election? · No0.9200.983$148.78+$9.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 11:30Will Suverēnā Vara (SV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?BUY0.851$67.25
08-02 21:02Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?BUY0.84$28.20
08-02 20:00Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?BUY0.79$34.76
08-02 00:05Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?BUY0.74$11.10
08-01 23:56Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?BUY0.81$4.05
08-01 23:45Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?BUY0.7$31.57
08-01 12:18Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.859$70.01
08-01 12:13Will Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?BUY0.82$30.01
08-01 12:08Will Oliver Junk win the next Hannover Region presidential election?BUY0.64$30.02
08-01 12:02Will Peter Karst win the next Hannover mayoral election?BUY0.88$8.80
08-01 11:57Will Robert Alferink win the next Osnabrück mayoral election?BUY0.66$50.03
07-30 06:36Will PH win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?BUY0.7$43.27
07-30 06:24Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?BUY0.07$2.10
07-30 06:21Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?BUY0.07$8.84
07-30 06:16Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?SELL0.89$55.18