DRAGONIL
0x282c7b3b51c38dd1d50277672354fe6277b8ddea
- Realised P&L
- $482.13
- Volume
- $17.5k
- Markets traded
- 370
- Open portfolio
- $20.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded370
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$504.19at 0.092Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
- +$249.67at 0.510US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$90.03at 0.537US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
- +$80.69at 0.388SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
- +$76.53at 0.725SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 06:23 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.4546952112 | $12.00 |
| 09-25 06:23 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.388059698 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 13:06 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 16:17 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.8267960636 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 15:19 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.81 | $0.76 |
| 09-23 11:13 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 10:56 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.6435643373 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 10:55 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.36 | $4.58 |
| 09-23 07:15 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.5264285601 | $6.70 |
| 09-22 09:56 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.5359840101 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 07:58 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.1830575396 | $4.00 |
| 09-20 07:58 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.5306673173 | $15.00 |
| 09-19 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.6199999907 | $12.00 |
| 09-18 04:43 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.4581673256 | $12.50 |
| 09-18 04:41 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.3464603223 | $10.00 |