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Traders

DRAGONIL

0x282c7b3b51c38dd1d50277672354fe6277b8ddea

Realised P&L
$482.13
Volume
$17.5k
Markets traded
370
Open portfolio
$20.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded370
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on September 25? · Yes0.3880.405$10.44+$0.44
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on September 25? · Yes0.4550.375$9.90−$2.10
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 10? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Congress" this week? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 10? · Yes0.2630.000$0.00−$17.40
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 28? · Yes0.3860.000$0.00−$7.00
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$1.50
Spread: England (-1.5) · England0.4900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 21? · Yes0.2290.000$0.00−$8.00
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on July 7? · Yes0.3380.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$1.50
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 10? · Yes0.6800.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 15? · Yes0.2550.000$0.00−$6.00
Will Trump say "Friendship" during Chinese State Banquet? · Yes0.7900.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 06:23Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on September 25?BUY0.4546952112$12.00
09-25 06:23Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on September 25?BUY0.388059698$10.00
09-24 13:06Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 24?BUY0.3599999971$5.00
09-23 16:17Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 23?BUY0.8267960636$10.00
09-23 15:19Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 23?BUY0.81$0.76
09-23 11:13Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 23?BUY0.7299999876$10.00
09-23 10:56Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 23?BUY0.6435643373$10.00
09-23 10:55Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 23?SELL0.36$4.58
09-23 07:15Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 23?BUY0.5264285601$6.70
09-22 09:56Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 22?BUY0.5359840101$10.00
09-20 07:58Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 20?BUY0.1830575396$4.00
09-20 07:58Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 20?BUY0.5306673173$15.00
09-19 04:08Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 19?BUY0.6199999907$12.00
09-18 04:43Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 18?BUY0.4581673256$12.50
09-18 04:41Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 18?BUY0.3464603223$10.00
Trader DRAGONIL · PolyBot Pro