0x282ba38cc37c3776b9eda29a2cc5e3432b5e2b61
0x282ba38cc37c3776b9eda29a2cc5e3432b5e2b61
- Realised P&L
- $22.70
- Volume
- $393.19
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $23.07
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.58at 0.371Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
- +$7.01at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
- +$7.01at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$6.35at 0.610Visa (V) Q2 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 8.5%-9.5%?
- +$4.60at 0.310Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 21:57 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $700 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 13:57 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999516 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 05:49 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 21:27 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 10:21 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999163 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 23:49 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 14:54 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 05:24 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.6199998946 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 21:19 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 12:14 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 02:08 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 17:39 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 08:27 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7499999063 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 08:00 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999145 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 23:59 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |