PolyBot

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Traders

0x282229fc1a193ffa44a195f5e28628cdd321a19f

Realised P&L
$-2.22
Volume
$60.08
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$15.66

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration62.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · Yes0.6500.885$2.98+$0.79
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.8000.895$2.45+$0.26
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5? · Up0.7100.745$2.30+$0.11
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.6500.670$2.26+$0.07
Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · No0.5900.545$2.02$0.17
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? · Yes0.6900.485$1.54$0.65
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.7800.910$1.40+$0.20
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.7900.165$0.46$1.73
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 5? · Up0.6900.110$0.35$1.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 11:57Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 5?BUY0.6899999118$2.19
08-05 03:52SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?BUY0.7099999157$2.19
08-04 19:49US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.6499999406$2.19
08-04 11:46Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.5899999542$2.19
08-04 03:44US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.6499997477$2.19
08-03 19:41Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.8$2.19
08-03 10:01Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?BUY0.6899999118$2.19
08-02 21:08Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.779999987$1.20
08-02 00:02US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.7899999531$2.19
08-01 16:01Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.6799999503$2.19
08-01 02:04Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5$2.04
07-31 17:59Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999262$2.21
07-31 09:58Another pandemic before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-30 22:19New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999262$2.21
07-30 09:46Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5$2.04