PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

arth.

0x282220689c7657e5f265a9f79f47e6452633b2bc

Realised P&L
$-3.22
Volume
$141.83
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$18.30

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes0.7130.845$13.04+$2.04
Will "The One About Matthew Perry: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week? · Yes0.9210.977$4.94+$0.28
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.1300.042$0.32−$0.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 03:49Will "The One About Matthew Perry: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?BUY0.9209999866$4.66
08-27 19:56Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?BUY0.7199999856$10.00
08-24 04:06Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.981$3.16
08-10 08:09Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?BUY0.65$1.00
08-01 08:59Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETSELL0.1$0.45
08-01 08:58Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETBUY0.6899999586$1.00
08-01 08:57Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETBUY0.64$1.00
08-01 08:56Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETBUY0.6699999196$1.00
08-01 08:54Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETBUY0.9299997117$1.00
08-01 08:54Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETBUY0.84$1.00
08-01 08:53Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETBUY0.84$1.00
08-01 08:53Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETSELL0.89$1.15
08-01 08:53Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETBUY0.77$1.00
07-31 05:37Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.1$0.54
07-30 05:29Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.8749999125$5.00