arth.
0x282220689c7657e5f265a9f79f47e6452633b2bc
- Realised P&L
- $-3.22
- Volume
- $141.83
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $18.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? · Yes | 0.713 | 0.845 | $13.04 | +$2.04 |
| Will "The One About Matthew Perry: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week? · Yes | 0.921 | 0.977 | $4.94 | +$0.28 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.042 | $0.32 | −$0.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.57at 0.761La Velada del Año 6: Lit Killah vs Kidd Keo
- +$1.13at 0.629Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
- +$1.02at 0.898La Velada del Año 6: Plex vs. Fernanfloo
- +$0.90at 0.870Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
- +$0.56at 0.876Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 03:49 | Will "The One About Matthew Perry: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.9209999866 | $4.66 |
| 08-27 19:56 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? | BUY | 0.7199999856 | $10.00 |
| 08-24 04:06 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.981 | $3.16 |
| 08-10 08:09 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? | BUY | 0.65 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 08:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | SELL | 0.1 | $0.45 |
| 08-01 08:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 08:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 08:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 08:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | BUY | 0.9299997117 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 08:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 08:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 08:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | SELL | 0.89 | $1.15 |
| 08-01 08:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 05:37 | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.54 |
| 07-30 05:29 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.8749999125 | $5.00 |