PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

0x281d336e2c8714e1c75e569532906436da95e11b

Realised P&L
$-27.78
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$12.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration50.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET · Up0.9501.000$5.19+$0.26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET · Up0.9901.000$5.00+$0.05
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.1000.085$0.97$0.17
Will the Republican Party win the NY-06 House seat? · Yes0.0800.065$0.89$0.20
Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026? · Yes0.0800.055$0.80$0.37
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0030.002$0.04$0.04
Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-04-04? · No0.0010.000$0.00$0.02
Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$0.26
Will Solana reach $110 in April? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00$1.00
Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$3.19
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March? · No0.0590.000$0.00$1.09
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on April 10? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$0.06
Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$0.05
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$2.15
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on March 27? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-17 10:34Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETBUY0.15$4.34
04-17 10:20Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETSELL0.99$5.14
04-17 10:19Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETBUY0.95$4.91
04-17 09:40Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETSELL0.99$5.14
04-17 09:39Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETBUY0.95$4.91
04-17 08:29Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.95$4.91
04-16 15:04Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETBUY0.99$4.94
04-16 07:59Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.06$2.08
04-14 15:14Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETBUY0.16$0.70
04-10 18:14Will Acción Popular (AP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?BUY0.001$0.03
04-10 18:14JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?SELL0.0365498534$1.00
04-10 18:14JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?BUY0.039$1.06
04-10 18:14Will Malta be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?BUY0.012$0.41
04-10 18:14Will Brandon Sowers be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?BUY0.025$0.85
04-10 18:13Will Google (GOOGL) close at $295-$300 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?BUY0.0092709677$0.32