0x281d336e2c8714e1c75e569532906436da95e11b
- Realised P&L
- $-27.78
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $12.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration50.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.21at 0.950Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
- +$0.21at 0.950Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
- +$-0.07at 0.039JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
- +$-4.95at 0.150Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-17 10:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | BUY | 0.15 | $4.34 |
| 04-17 10:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $5.14 |
| 04-17 10:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $4.91 |
| 04-17 09:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $5.14 |
| 04-17 09:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $4.91 |
| 04-17 08:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $4.91 |
| 04-16 15:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $4.94 |
| 04-16 07:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.06 | $2.08 |
| 04-14 15:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $0.70 |
| 04-10 18:14 | Will Acción Popular (AP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 04-10 18:14 | JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10? | SELL | 0.0365498534 | $1.00 |
| 04-10 18:14 | JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10? | BUY | 0.039 | $1.06 |
| 04-10 18:14 | Will Malta be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? | BUY | 0.012 | $0.41 |
| 04-10 18:14 | Will Brandon Sowers be the Republican nominee for AZ-01? | BUY | 0.025 | $0.85 |
| 04-10 18:13 | Will Google (GOOGL) close at $295-$300 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10? | BUY | 0.0092709677 | $0.32 |