PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x281cb080388cc0ed7f973952114b2313e5f458f0

0x281cb080388cc0ed7f973952114b2313e5f458f0

Realised P&L
$-4.93
Volume
$124.41
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$1.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · No0.3500.220$0.96$0.56
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes0.3700.140$0.58$0.94
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No0.4100.038$0.14$1.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 21:37Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.3699999197$1.52
09-19 11:03Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?BUY0.3499999309$1.52
09-19 02:17Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.4099998975$1.52
09-17 08:00Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.7199999053$1.52
09-16 23:46Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $172.50 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.5599999411$1.52
09-16 15:46Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?BUY0.7299999232$1.52
09-16 07:44S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16?BUY0.38$1.52
09-11 02:43Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $170 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.5299999128$1.52
09-10 18:39Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?BUY0.2999999803$1.52
09-10 09:42Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.7099998879$1.52
09-10 01:03SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?BUY0.6099999117$1.52
09-09 13:24US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.6199999755$1.52
09-08 18:50Will Chewy say "Amazon" during earnings call?BUY0.76$1.52
09-08 06:23SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 8?BUY0.2799999705$1.52
09-04 00:19US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?BUY0.5399999929$1.52