CarlosVelo
0x281b03158eaa739c0f7cbc70cecbf3d86ccd7f7b
- Realised P&L
- $-4.67
- Volume
- $206.11
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $45.13
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.639 | 0.631 | $29.60 | −$0.40 |
| Warriors vs. Lakers · Lakers | 0.680 | 0.665 | $9.78 | −$0.22 |
| Gui Santos: Points O/U 11.5 · Yes | 0.600 | 0.345 | $5.75 | −$4.25 |
| 76ers vs. Knicks · Knicks | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.10 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.40at 0.490Celtics vs. Pistons
- +$3.50at 0.650Bills vs. Raiders
- +$3.42at 0.740Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5
- +$3.09at 0.765Jets vs. Patriots
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 21:24 | Gui Santos: Points O/U 11.5 | BUY | 0.599999988 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 21:23 | Warriors vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 10-20 22:57 | 76ers vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.6199999898 | $17.10 |
| 10-18 16:55 | Jets vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 03:08 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5 | SELL | 0.99 | $13.55 |
| 10-16 02:15 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.6394671039 | $30.00 |
| 10-15 22:47 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5 | BUY | 0.729999954 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 22:05 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.5 | $4.85 |