cicci
0x28162c647b30061c5fffbd9de58f1fa01ef7c473
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $436.2k
- Markets traded
- 284
- Open portfolio
- $10.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded284
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yes | 0.177 | 0.175 | $3.50 | −$0.03 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.075 | $1.50 | +$0.30 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.150 | $1.50 | +$0.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yes | 0.095 | 0.108 | $1.24 | +$0.15 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.115 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in October 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.095 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.054 | $0.55 | −$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.80at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
- +$75.27at 0.988Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
- +$67.50at 0.954Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
- +$55.22at 0.990Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
- +$50.70at 0.976Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 14:32 | Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in October 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 11:13 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 09-28 09:04 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 09-28 08:57 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 00:44 | Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 09-28 00:20 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.091 | $0.78 |
| 09-28 00:04 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.50 |
| 09-28 00:03 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 23:53 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.22 |
| 09-27 23:47 | Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 09-27 23:46 | Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 09-27 23:25 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $2.10 |
| 09-25 04:27 | Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $2.10 |
| 09-22 14:43 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.20 |
| 09-21 23:35 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.926 | $18.52 |