nareh433
0x28161215c8e233f0a9e10f9925d3348288af63e0
- Realised P&L
- $-773.41
- Volume
- $15.4k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $148.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the HI-02 House seat? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.955 | $52.52 | +$0.28 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? · No | 0.962 | 0.956 | $50.64 | −$0.34 |
| UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? · No | 0.968 | 0.958 | $24.89 | −$0.27 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison? · No | 0.966 | 0.973 | $20.38 | +$0.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.350Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?
- +$530.84at 0.540Oilers vs. Stars
- +$465.83at 0.630XRP above $2.50 on May 16?
- +$305.25at 0.450Brewers vs. Cubs
- +$245.63at 0.490Tigers vs. Astros
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 10:03 | Brewers vs. Cubs | BUY | 0.45 | $249.75 |
| 08-19 08:47 | Reds vs. Angels | BUY | 0.43 | $191.35 |
| 08-18 13:53 | Guardians vs. Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.5 | $340.00 |
| 05-26 10:54 | Ethereum Up or Down on May 27? | BUY | 0.5 | $402.00 |
| 05-23 10:26 | Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals | BUY | 0.55 | $501.05 |
| 05-22 10:17 | Panthers vs. Hurricanes | BUY | 0.55 | $641.85 |
| 05-21 11:51 | Oilers vs. Stars | BUY | 0.54 | $623.16 |
| 05-15 08:01 | XRP above $2.50 on May 16? | BUY | 0.63 | $793.17 |
| 04-30 12:53 | Tigers vs. Astros | BUY | 0.489999999 | $236.00 |
| 04-25 11:53 | Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 22-28? | BUY | 0.8199999995 | $220.00 |
| 04-23 13:58 | Jets vs. Blues | BUY | 0.5399999993 | $145.00 |