0x281471658bb2B17867b6406ed86E023D9afc57d2-1782082330160
0x281471658bb2b17867b6406ed86e023d9afc57d2
- Realised P&L
- $-1.81
- Volume
- $7.9k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $5.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.84at 0.019Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?
- +$12.00at 0.103Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$7.94at 0.196Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SD or M?
- +$6.14at 0.247Will AfD win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?
- +$2.96at 0.407Seattle Sounders FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 20:31 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 in September? | BUY | 0.38 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 20:30 | Seattle Sounders FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 22:58 | Will AfD win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes? | SELL | 0.9852004802 | $8.21 |
| 09-20 20:45 | Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 20:45 | Will Grüne win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.17 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 22:53 | Will SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes? | SELL | 0.765 | $4.50 |
| 09-18 20:45 | Fight to Go the Distance? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 20:45 | Will AfD win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 20:45 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win fewer than 50 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 20:45 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.50 |
| 09-15 20:45 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.50 |
| 09-15 20:45 | Will New People (NL) win fewer than 35 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.50 |
| 09-14 21:06 | Will Sara Nylund be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland? | SELL | 0.48 | $4.29 |
| 09-14 20:45 | Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.50 |
| 09-14 20:45 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.35 | $2.50 |