PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x281471658bb2B17867b6406ed86E023D9afc57d2-1782082330160

0x281471658bb2b17867b6406ed86e023d9afc57d2

Realised P&L
$-1.81
Volume
$7.9k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$5.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 20:31Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 in September?BUY0.38$2.00
09-21 20:30Seattle Sounders FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5BUY0.4$2.00
09-20 22:58Will AfD win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?SELL0.9852004802$8.21
09-20 20:45Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?BUY0.28$2.00
09-19 20:45Will Grüne win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.17$2.00
09-18 22:53Will SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes?SELL0.765$4.50
09-18 20:45Fight to Go the Distance?BUY0.25$2.00
09-17 20:45Will AfD win between 14% and 17% of all valid second votes?BUY0.24$2.00
09-17 20:45Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win fewer than 50 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.24$2.00
09-15 20:45Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?BUY0.44$2.50
09-15 20:45Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.46$2.50
09-15 20:45Will New People (NL) win fewer than 35 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?BUY0.16$2.50
09-14 21:06Will Sara Nylund be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västernorrland?SELL0.48$4.29
09-14 20:45Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?BUY0.28$2.50
09-14 20:45Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?BUY0.35$2.50