PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x281344d75519f25844188005A0e2c551E1682A61-1765327392911

0x281344d75519f25844188005a0e2c551e1682a61

Realised P&L
$-22.73
Volume
$2.5k
Markets traded
102
Open portfolio
$21.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded102
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Barcelona finish top 8 in UCL league phase? · Yes0.7600.795$5.23+$0.23
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.8630.861$5.00−$0.01
Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.7500.740$4.93−$0.07
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-14? · No0.7000.685$4.89−$0.11
Will Phantom Blade Zero win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? · No0.9580.951$0.99−$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 23:06Will Barcelona finish top 8 in UCL league phase?BUY0.759999927$5.00
10-13 23:04Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8629999639$5.00
10-13 23:04Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?BUY0.75$5.00
10-13 23:01Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?SELL0.6196213319$90.16
10-13 22:37Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-14?BUY0.699999972$5.00
10-13 21:36Will Phantom Blade Zero win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?BUY0.9579999866$1.00
10-13 19:33Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.5699999886$5.00
10-13 19:22Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.7299999679$5.00
10-13 19:13Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?BUY0.6599999979$100.00
10-13 19:12Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.866$75.64
10-06 14:38Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8489999934$74.16
04-26 22:49Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.053$0.93
04-26 22:49Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.031$0.94
04-26 22:49Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?SELL0.15$0.94
04-26 22:48Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.033$0.97