0x281344d75519f25844188005A0e2c551E1682A61-1765327392911
0x281344d75519f25844188005a0e2c551e1682a61
- Realised P&L
- $-22.73
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 102
- Open portfolio
- $21.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded102
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barcelona finish top 8 in UCL league phase? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.795 | $5.23 | +$0.23 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.863 | 0.861 | $5.00 | −$0.01 |
| Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.740 | $4.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-14? · No | 0.700 | 0.685 | $4.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will Phantom Blade Zero win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? · No | 0.958 | 0.951 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.17at 0.735Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
- +$6.57at 0.712Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
- +$5.45at 0.651Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13?
- +$3.12at 0.696Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
- +$3.00at 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 23:06 | Will Barcelona finish top 8 in UCL league phase? | BUY | 0.759999927 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 23:04 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8629999639 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 23:04 | Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.75 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 23:01 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? | SELL | 0.6196213319 | $90.16 |
| 10-13 22:37 | Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 21:36 | Will Phantom Blade Zero win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? | BUY | 0.9579999866 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 19:33 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 19:22 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.7299999679 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 19:13 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? | BUY | 0.6599999979 | $100.00 |
| 10-13 19:12 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.866 | $75.64 |
| 10-06 14:38 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8489999934 | $74.16 |
| 04-26 22:49 | Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.053 | $0.93 |
| 04-26 22:49 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.031 | $0.94 |
| 04-26 22:49 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.94 |
| 04-26 22:48 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.033 | $0.97 |