Mr-F1
0x2812d278bbf17868092e27146027d84efa6fd8fd
- Realised P&L
- $-254.67
- Volume
- $26.1k
- Markets traded
- 104
- Open portfolio
- $118.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded104
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.80at 0.310Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on September 27?
- +$11.80at 0.410Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on September 23?
- +$11.56at 0.422Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or below on September 27?
- +$10.44at 0.661Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 22?
- +$9.63at 0.245Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on September 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 08:16 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.45413 | $18.17 |
| 09-14 04:33 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 14? | BUY | 0.5899999841 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 16:47 | Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 09-05 21:15 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 5? | BUY | 0.9 | $10.00 |
| 09-05 20:42 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 5? | BUY | 0.9489999992 | $10.00 |
| 09-05 20:27 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 5? | BUY | 0.9499999715 | $10.00 |
| 09-05 20:18 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on September 5? | BUY | 0.9879999992 | $10.00 |
| 09-05 20:06 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on September 5? | BUY | 0.9748065221 | $10.00 |
| 09-05 20:06 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 5? | BUY | 0.9869999996 | $10.00 |
| 09-05 19:47 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 5? | BUY | 0.9669999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-05 19:20 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 5? | BUY | 0.947578614 | $10.00 |
| 09-02 04:56 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 2? | BUY | 0.7599999483 | $10.00 |
| 08-31 18:42 | Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 21°C or below on September 1? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.12 |
| 08-30 11:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on August 30? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.59 |
| 08-30 10:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on August 30? | BUY | 0.9 | $3.39 |