PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

EconProf

0x2811fa36ab944e265c3f5963e00914170b8f6818

Realised P&L
$243.67
Volume
$50.4k
Markets traded
834
Open portfolio
$6.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded834
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration2.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 10:04Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.942$39.87
11-01 10:04Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman by November 30, 2026?BUY0.9$39.56
11-01 10:04Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun by November 30, 2026?BUY0.89$39.55
11-01 09:51UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?BUY0.969$39.43
11-01 09:51Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?BUY0.8672634327$39.87
11-01 09:51Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?BUY0.84$39.52
11-01 09:51Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.82$39.52
11-01 09:50Will Trump meet with Andy Burnham by November 30, 2026?BUY0.9$39.56
11-01 09:50Will Ho Hsin-chun win the next Taichung Mayor election?BUY0.8481184041$39.54
11-01 09:50Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more?BUY0.798$35.98
11-01 09:50Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 6%-9%?BUY0.8179321754$39.56
10-31 09:43Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?BUY0.8273230961$39.87
10-31 09:43Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $100M and $125M by November 30?BUY0.8610920165$39.58
10-31 09:43Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.8552357266$39.55
10-31 09:43Will Brian Bengs win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?BUY0.935$39.57