EconProf
0x2811fa36ab944e265c3f5963e00914170b8f6818
- Realised P&L
- $243.67
- Volume
- $50.4k
- Markets traded
- 834
- Open portfolio
- $6.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded834
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration2.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$161.94at 0.908Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
- +$117.52at 0.923Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
- +$86.81at 0.257Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$45.31at 0.184Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$26.95at 0.835Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 10:04 | Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.942 | $39.87 |
| 11-01 10:04 | Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $39.56 |
| 11-01 10:04 | Will Trump meet with Joseph Aoun by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $39.55 |
| 11-01 09:51 | UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? | BUY | 0.969 | $39.43 |
| 11-01 09:51 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027? | BUY | 0.8672634327 | $39.87 |
| 11-01 09:51 | Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $39.52 |
| 11-01 09:51 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $39.52 |
| 11-01 09:50 | Will Trump meet with Andy Burnham by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $39.56 |
| 11-01 09:50 | Will Ho Hsin-chun win the next Taichung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.8481184041 | $39.54 |
| 11-01 09:50 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more? | BUY | 0.798 | $35.98 |
| 11-01 09:50 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? | BUY | 0.8179321754 | $39.56 |
| 10-31 09:43 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | BUY | 0.8273230961 | $39.87 |
| 10-31 09:43 | Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $100M and $125M by November 30? | BUY | 0.8610920165 | $39.58 |
| 10-31 09:43 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.8552357266 | $39.55 |
| 10-31 09:43 | Will Brian Bengs win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.935 | $39.57 |