PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xdevf

0x280c47e5a2768fbe04994cb37f729bd953bd169c

Realised P&L
$-206.82
Volume
$20.3k
Markets traded
159
Open portfolio
$56.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded159
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31? · No0.8600.935$22.44+$1.80
Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? · No0.8600.820$18.86$0.92
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? · Yes0.8990.775$15.51$2.47
Will Mobia Medical's market cap be less than $500M at market close on IPO day? · No0.7800.000$0.00$17.16
Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 by March 31? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$8.00
Will Ethereum hit $6,000.00 by March 31? · Yes0.0810.000$0.00$71.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-29 05:35Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027?BUY0.899$17.98
06-29 05:34Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?BUY0.828$7.65
06-29 05:33GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?BUY0.9$9.00
06-29 05:33GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?BUY0.93$9.30
06-29 05:28Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 29?SELL0.001$0.07
06-29 05:28Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 29?SELL0.031$0.46
06-29 05:27Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 29?SELL0.05$1.75
06-29 04:11Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 29?BUY0.12$1.20
06-29 03:56Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 29?SELL0.01$0.69
06-29 03:50Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 29?BUY0.13$8.06
06-29 03:47S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 29?SELL0.15$9.46
06-29 03:44Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 29?BUY0.0955$3.82
06-29 03:43Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 29?BUY0.08$1.52
06-28 23:52Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.94$19.74
05-08 12:29Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?BUY0.86$20.64