xdevf
0x280c47e5a2768fbe04994cb37f729bd953bd169c
- Realised P&L
- $-206.82
- Volume
- $20.3k
- Markets traded
- 159
- Open portfolio
- $56.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded159
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31? · No | 0.860 | 0.935 | $22.44 | +$1.80 |
| Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? · No | 0.860 | 0.820 | $18.86 | −$0.92 |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? · Yes | 0.899 | 0.775 | $15.51 | −$2.47 |
| Will Mobia Medical's market cap be less than $500M at market close on IPO day? · No | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.16 |
| Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 by March 31? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will Ethereum hit $6,000.00 by March 31? · Yes | 0.081 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$71.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.67at 0.745Solana Up or Down - February 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
- +$36.30at 0.745Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
- +$31.86at 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
- +$31.54at 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
- +$31.25at 0.745Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 05:35 | Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? | BUY | 0.899 | $17.98 |
| 06-29 05:34 | Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.828 | $7.65 |
| 06-29 05:33 | GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.00 |
| 06-29 05:33 | GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $9.30 |
| 06-29 05:28 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 29? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.07 |
| 06-29 05:28 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 29? | SELL | 0.031 | $0.46 |
| 06-29 05:27 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 29? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.75 |
| 06-29 04:11 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 29? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 06-29 03:56 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 29? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.69 |
| 06-29 03:50 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 29? | BUY | 0.13 | $8.06 |
| 06-29 03:47 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 29? | SELL | 0.15 | $9.46 |
| 06-29 03:44 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 29? | BUY | 0.0955 | $3.82 |
| 06-29 03:43 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 29? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.52 |
| 06-28 23:52 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.94 | $19.74 |
| 05-08 12:29 | Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31? | BUY | 0.86 | $20.64 |