0xCAF7a2e7c16412DFD80f1C9444dC818bc2d511e6-1777997594973
0x280a39c422feb327825aa171451fe0ef9ade8eff
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $18.2k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $4.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October? · No | 0.988 | 0.990 | $3.0k | +$4.60 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October? · No | 0.965 | 0.956 | $980.74 | −$9.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$132.69at 0.840Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
- +$78.38at 0.664Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
- +$33.61at 0.816Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
- +$3.79at 0.913Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?
- +$-257.24at 0.417Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 12:35 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October? | BUY | 0.9650287372 | $990.00 |
| 09-28 21:39 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October? | BUY | 0.9879827274 | $3.0k |
| 07-01 00:03 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | SELL | 0.999 | $233.88 |
| 07-01 00:03 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? | SELL | 0.999 | $832.73 |
| 07-01 00:03 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? | SELL | 0.999 | $183.62 |
| 04-23 14:02 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | BUY | 0.6641533658 | $155.49 |
| 04-23 14:01 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? | BUY | 0.8160875461 | $150.00 |
| 04-23 13:59 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? | BUY | 0.8397708624 | $700.00 |
| 04-16 16:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April? | SELL | 0.9184036898 | $1.6k |
| 04-15 21:22 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April? | BUY | 0.9099999996 | $1.6k |
| 04-15 21:20 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | SELL | 0.5 | $1.5k |
| 04-15 21:20 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? | SELL | 0.1487880936 | $142.76 |
| 04-04 16:22 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | BUY | 0.8299999952 | $98.64 |
| 04-04 13:40 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | BUY | 0.8299999988 | $493.20 |
| 04-02 21:01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | BUY | 0.8090634062 | $747.29 |