PolyBot

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Traders

lllebets

0x2807be8885c8f1cdfa177bacd27d6763c3bd4e85

Realised P&L
$504.29
Volume
$4.1k
Markets traded
148
Open portfolio
$47.75

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar12.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded148
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 19:51Will Ukraine win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.06$40.00
08-20 18:38Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.28$15.32
08-06 22:10Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?SELL0.05$1.25
07-23 17:59Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.44$22.00
07-23 17:58Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.44$22.00
07-19 11:27Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?SELL0.58$28.99
07-19 11:22Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?SELL0.5826$29.13
07-15 20:33Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.0749999983$40.00
07-08 07:08Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.22$17.60
07-07 17:17Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.47$14.10
07-06 21:01Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?SELL0.28$15.40
07-06 21:00Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.278198033$16.69
07-06 21:00Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?SELL0.71$39.05
07-06 21:00Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.71$42.60