0x2801c564c1e29b199eb77eb00da0e6d8e09446ec
0x2801c564c1e29b199eb77eb00da0e6d8e09446ec
- Realised P&L
- $0.14
- Volume
- $135.03
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $2.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.920 | $1.67 | +$0.67 |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? · No | 0.210 | 0.105 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.97at 0.258Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$2.54at 0.288Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?
- +$1.83at 0.359Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 Week of September 28 2026?
- +$1.68at 0.379Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of August 31 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 02:11 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 12:53 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 03:09 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 11:37 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:28 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:49 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 07:22 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 22:31 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 22:31 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 13:08 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 in September? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:38 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:24 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:55 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in September? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 13:52 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 05:47 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |