Rhettad
0x27fe1bc7aa30ac6623043def02d4139a78b4074d
- Realised P&L
- $2.47
- Volume
- $10.5k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $6.34
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)29.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 September 28-October 4? · No | 0.995 | 0.994 | $6.34 | −$0.01 |
| Rockets vs. Heat · Rockets | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.54 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.52at 0.540Raptors vs. Magic
- +$0.17at 0.998Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January?
- +$0.01at 0.997Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
- +$0.01at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
- +$0.01at 0.998Will the price of Solana be above $130 on April 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 08:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9949999295 | $6.35 |
| 07-20 02:02 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 06-30 06:17 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.31 |
| 06-10 02:59 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.00 |
| 06-10 02:54 | Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $5.29 |
| 05-26 03:21 | Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9929999991 | $5.30 |
| 04-23 06:41 | Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.24 |
| 04-14 07:31 | Will the price of Solana be above $130 on April 19? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.02 |
| 03-14 05:55 | Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.998 | $6.17 |
| 03-03 02:30 | Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.18 |
| 02-28 01:26 | Rockets vs. Heat | BUY | 0.609999938 | $3.54 |
| 02-08 03:29 | Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.994 | $13.14 |
| 02-05 09:47 | Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga? | SELL | 0.998 | $335.08 |
| 02-05 07:46 | Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga? | BUY | 0.999 | $335.42 |
| 02-05 07:35 | Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.994 | $331.37 |