Vitus-Stonks
0x27fd9c359e99f6f618eb5426b6bc4d9277415464
- Realised P&L
- $166.89
- Volume
- $39.3k
- Markets traded
- 220
- Open portfolio
- $554.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded220
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.029 | $364.00 | −$2.6k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.254 | 0.021 | $151.60 | −$1.7k |
| Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.254 | 0.021 | $39.34 | −$447.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.61at 0.886Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
- +$31.66at 0.960Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
- +$28.22at 0.800Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$26.13at 0.958Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?
- +$20.26at 0.922Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 12:39 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.967 | $210.91 |
| 09-25 12:39 | Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.66 | $21.63 |
| 08-06 21:31 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $15.09 |
| 07-22 10:36 | Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.93 | $177.25 |
| 07-17 13:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | SELL | 0.95 | $2.24 |
| 07-17 13:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 13:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 15:48 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.9681489123 | $440.15 |
| 07-13 11:44 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 07-06 20:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.1619046416 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 20:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | SELL | 0.1 | $1.11 |
| 07-06 20:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 20:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 21:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 21:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |