JamesNicholson8337
0x27f4df9afdbe9b2ebb2bdc736ead5abe51c40430
- Realised P&L
- $417.15
- Volume
- $138.4k
- Markets traded
- 377
- Open portfolio
- $57.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded377
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$197.60at 0.480Will the Chicago Bears be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?
- +$187.44at 0.120Will the US strike Syria next?
- +$138.70at 0.270Will Israel strike Gaza on November 16?
- +$94.20at 0.700Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?
- +$73.04at 0.780Will Jensen Huang say "Bubble" during NVIDIA keynote?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-21 04:02 | Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $136.08 |
| 02-08 20:29 | Will Backpack launch a token by March 31? | SELL | 0.29 | $3.77 |
| 02-08 19:53 | EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 02-08 17:59 | Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? | SELL | 0.6 | $12.00 |
| 02-08 17:58 | Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? | SELL | 0.6 | $224.40 |
| 02-08 16:25 | Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $9.36 |
| 02-08 16:24 | Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $10.92 |
| 01-11 18:15 | Will another MrBeast video get 100m+ week 1 views by January 31? | SELL | 0.88 | $44.00 |
| 01-11 11:29 | Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31? | SELL | 0.74 | $156.14 |
| 01-11 09:09 | Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31? | BUY | 0.74 | $156.14 |
| 01-11 08:58 | Will another MrBeast video get 100m+ week 1 views by January 31? | BUY | 0.89 | $44.50 |
| 01-11 06:17 | Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $44.40 |
| 01-11 04:59 | Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $44.40 |
| 01-11 04:30 | Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be at least 200k? | SELL | 0.93 | $104.61 |
| 01-11 02:40 | Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be at least 200k? | SELL | 0.93 | $9.30 |