Mougantai
0x27e30c01dc7a616a1654dcdf814fd3e12b109524
- Realised P&L
- $-27.9k
- Volume
- $148.1k
- Markets traded
- 152
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-18.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded152
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 28? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.765 | $1.2k | +$1.0k |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on September 7? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $8.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on September 7? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $3.88 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 15? · No | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.0kat 0.050Games Total: O/U 2.5
- +$4.6kat 0.120Israel military action against Lebanon on September 27?
- +$113.85at 0.460Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$14.21at 0.749Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 25?
- +$2.51at 0.749Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on April 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 14:00 | Israel military action against Lebanon on September 28? | SELL | 0.11 | $3.17 |
| 09-06 13:58 | Israel military action against Lebanon on September 28? | SELL | 0.23 | $3.45 |
| 09-06 12:33 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $8.00 |
| 09-06 12:33 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.88 |
| 05-15 06:20 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 15? | BUY | 0.2996986472 | $27.63 |
| 05-09 13:46 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 63°F or below on May 10? | BUY | 0.996 | $7.50 |
| 05-09 13:46 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 10? | BUY | 0.9939999992 | $2.55 |
| 05-09 13:45 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 10? | BUY | 0.96 | $2.55 |
| 05-09 13:45 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.52 |
| 05-09 13:45 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.37 |
| 05-09 13:45 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.66 |
| 05-09 13:45 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on May 10? | BUY | 0.992 | $2.12 |
| 05-09 13:45 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 10? | BUY | 0.9869999969 | $1.27 |
| 05-09 13:45 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.67 |
| 05-09 13:45 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 10? | BUY | 0.9969999993 | $1.52 |