0x27e014a77415c40ab921d0d92156bc0c5d9458da
0x27e014a77415c40ab921d0d92156bc0c5d9458da
- Realised P&L
- $-4.95
- Volume
- $103.65
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $2.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 20? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.570 | $1.10 | +$0.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 20? · No | 0.430 | 0.430 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.69at 0.485Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 19?
- +$0.41at 0.886Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11AM ET
- +$0.12at 0.962Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1PM ET
- +$0.09at 0.922Bitcoin Up or Down on September 23?
- +$0.03at 0.932Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 September 21-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 11:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 20? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 07:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 20? | BUY | 0.5699998705 | $1.10 |
| 10-20 06:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 20? | SELL | 0.47 | $0.85 |
| 10-20 05:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 20? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 15:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $1.89 |
| 10-19 12:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $2.00 |
| 10-19 12:37 | Will Solana dip to $90 in October? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.75 |
| 10-19 11:24 | Will Solana dip to $90 in October? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 11:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.97 |
| 10-19 11:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 11:09 | Will Solana dip to $80 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.279009009 | $1.55 |
| 10-19 11:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 10:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 19? | SELL | 0.84 | $1.86 |
| 10-19 08:50 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 19? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 08:52 | Will Solana dip to $80 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $2.00 |