0x27d74640ae304d299669c9389e72664e0e6addc7
0x27d74640ae304d299669c9389e72664e0e6addc7
- Realised P&L
- $300.73
- Volume
- $22.2k
- Markets traded
- 304
- Open portfolio
- $2.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded304
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.179 | 0.050 | $2.22 | −$5.73 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.006 | $0.75 | −$7.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$128.38at 0.047Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 25?
- +$85.49at 0.028Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or below on August 15?
- +$60.15at 0.026Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 17?
- +$57.73at 0.043Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on August 19?
- +$52.05at 0.019Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 15:43 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.0899999986 | $2.57 |
| 09-30 15:31 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.11 |
| 09-30 15:31 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.1799999979 | $6.76 |
| 09-30 15:23 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.1747572673 | $1.19 |
| 09-30 14:58 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.0097957953 | $1.04 |
| 09-30 14:08 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.98 | $0.27 |
| 09-29 17:48 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.67 |
| 09-29 17:39 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 30? | SELL | 0.11 | $3.64 |
| 09-29 15:04 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.1699999977 | $2.98 |
| 09-29 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.71 | $2.84 |
| 09-29 11:37 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.0908336516 | $3.19 |
| 09-29 10:40 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.1199999907 | $1.03 |
| 09-29 08:31 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.12 | $4.71 |
| 09-28 13:42 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.38 |
| 09-28 13:42 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.38 |