PolyBot

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Traders

0x27d74640ae304d299669c9389e72664e0e6addc7

0x27d74640ae304d299669c9389e72664e0e6addc7

Realised P&L
$300.73
Volume
$22.2k
Markets traded
304
Open portfolio
$2.97

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded304
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 1? · Yes0.1790.050$2.22−$5.73
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 1? · Yes0.0680.006$0.75−$7.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 15:43Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 1?BUY0.0899999986$2.57
09-30 15:31Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 1?BUY0.08$1.11
09-30 15:31Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 1?BUY0.1799999979$6.76
09-30 15:23Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 1?BUY0.1747572673$1.19
09-30 14:58Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 30?BUY0.0097957953$1.04
09-30 14:08Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 30?SELL0.98$0.27
09-29 17:48Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 30?SELL0.11$0.67
09-29 17:39Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 30?SELL0.11$3.64
09-29 15:04Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 30?BUY0.1699999977$2.98
09-29 14:00Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 29?SELL0.71$2.84
09-29 11:37Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 29?BUY0.0908336516$3.19
09-29 10:40Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 29?BUY0.1199999907$1.03
09-29 08:31Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 30?BUY0.12$4.71
09-28 13:42Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 28?SELL0.1$0.38
09-28 13:42Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 28?SELL0.1$0.38