0x27d6ab649f72f8fa41440b5140e5cd15f4f5e4c8
- Realised P&L
- $11.11
- Volume
- $88.50
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $9.07
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar12.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes | 0.370 | 1.000 | $2.70 | +$1.70 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? · No | 0.420 | 0.999 | $2.38 | +$1.38 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.825 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.590 | 0.595 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.740 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.640 | $0.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.005 | $0.03 | −$0.97 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on September 15? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 15? · Down | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.97at 0.258Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$2.54at 0.288Will Warsh say "Framework" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
- +$2.54at 0.288Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$2.00at 0.339SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?
- +$1.25at 0.450Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 17:11 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on September 15? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 08:04 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 15? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 23:41 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 15:39 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 15:38 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 07:21 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 23:20 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 07:04 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 06:58 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 22:48 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 14:07 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 04:45 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 19:48 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 11:47 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 15:26 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,550 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |