0x27d620654764AC7a3f91F67BC29577d1239fde41-1768993299900
0x27d620654764ac7a3f91f67bc29577d1239fde41
- Realised P&L
- $-12.32
- Volume
- $855.35
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $0.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027? · Yes | 0.115 | 0.040 | $0.34 | −$0.66 |
| Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.070 | $0.33 | −$0.67 |
| Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by March 31? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.37at 0.187Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$4.16at 0.546Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?
- +$2.57at 0.280Will "Iran" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)
- +$1.94at 0.340Will "Oil" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)
- +$1.78at 0.360Will "Oscar" or "Oscars" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 09:00 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099998885 | $1.51 |
| 03-27 13:02 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5199999759 | $6.05 |
| 03-25 09:49 | Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by March 31? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 03-25 09:48 | Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027? | BUY | 0.1149999005 | $1.00 |
| 03-25 09:48 | Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 03-25 09:47 | Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 03-24 11:23 | Will "Donald" or "Trump" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29) | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 03-24 11:23 | Will "Oil" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29) | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 03-24 11:23 | Will "War" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29) | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 03-24 11:23 | Will "Crack Cocaine" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29) | BUY | 0.1509998845 | $1.00 |
| 03-24 11:23 | Will "Oscar" or "Oscars" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29) | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 03-24 11:23 | Will "Iran" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29) | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 03-24 11:23 | Will "Dude" be said 10+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29) | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 03-24 11:22 | Will "Crazy" be said 15+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29) | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 03-24 11:22 | Will "Jamie" be said 10+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29) | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |