wsifjg
0x27d3acfc57296e619df2f63b964dd79448156dd4
- Realised P&L
- $-20.69
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $15.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana dip to $10 in September? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $13.21 | +$0.01 |
| Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.005 | $2.50 | +$1.50 |
| Will Mistral have the top AI model at the end of November 2025? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026? · No | 0.882 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.94at 0.750Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
- +$34.91at 0.750Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?
- +$34.88at 0.750Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?
- +$34.84at 0.750Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on April 7?
- +$2.80at 0.972Will Elon tweet 375-399 times March 21-28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 09:00 | Will Solana dip to $10 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.20 |
| 08-24 10:51 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999361 | $13.20 |
| 07-10 06:35 | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.10 |
| 07-10 06:33 | Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 06:24 | Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002107593 | $1.11 |
| 06-15 06:45 | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $70.00 |
| 06-07 07:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $70.20 |
| 05-30 03:30 | Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $70.10 |
| 05-25 08:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $70.00 |
| 05-20 03:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20? | BUY | 0.9989999867 | $70.00 |
| 05-14 06:31 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $69.90 |
| 05-11 10:37 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $69.50 |
| 05-08 07:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $69.80 |
| 04-30 08:31 | Trump out as President by April 30? | BUY | 0.9989999967 | $69.70 |
| 04-26 08:05 | Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $69.68 |