osantana
0x27cf7dcd84ce2eff02fe6cb473e72a772a6a86f5
- Realised P&L
- $35.86
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $55.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration87.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BNB dip to $300 in October? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $55.48 | −$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.30at 0.830US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$0.79at 0.991Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?
- +$0.73at 0.994Will Solana reach $170 in May?
- +$0.60at 0.995Will Solana reach $160 in April?
- +$0.31at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 00:42 | Will BNB dip to $300 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $55.56 |
| 09-15 04:02 | Will XRP dip to $0.20 in September? | BUY | 0.997999988 | $19.90 |
| 09-10 06:49 | Will Solana dip to $20 in September? | BUY | 0.9969999901 | $52.34 |
| 09-09 05:08 | Will XRP dip to $0.20 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $57.74 |
| 08-22 14:50 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in August? | SELL | 0.979 | $36.07 |
| 08-22 14:49 | Will XRP dip to $0.20 in August? | SELL | 0.9957986155 | $47.47 |
| 08-16 05:55 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $36.81 |
| 08-12 00:43 | Will XRP dip to $0.20 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $47.63 |
| 08-07 14:07 | Will Solana dip to $20 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.36 |
| 07-19 08:24 | Will XRP dip to $0.20 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.46 |
| 07-11 16:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.62 |
| 06-25 16:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $66.69 |
| 06-22 13:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $83.49 |
| 05-23 08:50 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in May? | BUY | 0.9979999118 | $11.23 |
| 05-20 22:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May? | BUY | 0.9969999473 | $16.30 |