Ralphfgn
0x27cd3b4de33265b89f0caf0b385b42bb0418226a
- Realised P&L
- $-34.92
- Volume
- $12.2k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $30.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta BC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to Score · No | 0.460 | 0.455 | $30.03 | −$0.33 |
| Raptors vs. Lakers · Raptors | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.58 |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs · LGD Gaming | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.08 |
| Tampere: Alex Barrena vs Niels Visker · Alex Barrena | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.29 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? · No | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.17 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$91.13at 0.500Will Pierre Gasly be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
- +$87.79at 0.500Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 World Series?
- +$44.72at 0.500Will Antoine Semenyo (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?
- +$19.72at 0.500Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$16.30at 0.500Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 03:12 | Will Antoine Semenyo (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? | SELL | 0.997 | $89.73 |
| 11-02 03:11 | Raptors vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.14 | $6.58 |
| 11-02 03:10 | Will Antoine Semenyo (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.18 |
| 11-02 03:10 | Atalanta BC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.46 | $11.96 |
| 11-02 03:09 | Atalanta BC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.46 | $18.40 |
| 10-19 11:07 | Spread: 49ers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.66 | $27.72 |
| 09-15 01:59 | Elche CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.74 | $23.68 |
| 09-03 06:51 | LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | BUY | 0.32 | $14.08 |
| 08-19 02:38 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group | BUY | 0.63 | $19.66 |
| 08-08 08:50 | Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-08? | BUY | 0.77 | $24.64 |
| 07-21 07:08 | Tampere: Alex Barrena vs Niels Visker | BUY | 0.69 | $28.29 |
| 07-10 11:27 | Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.766 | $20.99 |
| 06-18 09:45 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.53 | $17.17 |
| 06-02 11:34 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,500 on June 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.00 |
| 05-22 11:01 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24? | BUY | 0.74 | $32.56 |