PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x27C5481F78ED3a57810269b3b7871e6185DA9B5D-1750803602414

0x27c5481f78ed3a57810269b3b7871e6185da9b5d

Realised P&L
$-804.81
Volume
$4.4k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$93.72

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-18.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration46.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration92.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4800.160$86.59$173.41
No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31? · Yes0.2100.125$7.13$4.85
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30? · Yes0.1430.000$0.00$4.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$9.00
Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 19:17Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.06$14.25
09-13 08:54Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2099999993$9.00
09-13 08:53Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.24$57.00
09-02 19:39No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31?BUY0.2099999863$11.98
07-19 08:21Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5909999975$7.00
07-19 08:18US strike on Cuba by December 31?SELL0.3$5.77
07-19 08:17Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.53$2.00
05-24 21:39Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.3499998807$1.32
05-22 22:05Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?SELL0.023$1.15
05-21 19:39US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.5199999813$10.00
05-21 19:38Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?BUY0.1429999743$4.00
05-16 20:55Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.3899999503$4.00
05-16 20:25Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.3989999662$4.00
05-16 20:23Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.5499999725$2.00
05-03 20:24Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.2$10.00