AC1899
0x27c0d397fe2d1a3298bb4dd5135e0baf1790fa70
- Realised P&L
- $1.19
- Volume
- $4.44
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $179.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar26.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 9? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.595 | $73.07 | +$3.07 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 9? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.565 | $39.65 | −$0.35 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 9? · Yes | 0.427 | 0.410 | $28.80 | −$1.20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 9? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.270 | $21.60 | +$1.60 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 9? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.285 | $16.76 | −$3.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.19at 0.462Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 12:04 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.5699999967 | $40.00 |
| 10-08 11:56 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $20.00 |
| 10-08 11:54 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.4270886743 | $30.00 |
| 10-08 11:53 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.5699999994 | $30.00 |
| 10-08 11:51 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.25 | $20.00 |
| 10-08 11:50 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.5699999967 | $40.00 |
| 10-08 09:35 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.22 |
| 10-07 14:21 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |