helIowrld2
0x27bdf6f5960f972c0e1ce53c93324167dfab5452
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $296.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,313
- Open portfolio
- $105.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,313
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down on September 18? · Up | 0.590 | 0.705 | $70.50 | +$11.50 |
| XRP Up or Down on September 18? · Up | 0.660 | 0.700 | $35.00 | +$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$349.09at 0.434Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
- +$179.22at 0.246New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals
- +$128.13at 0.654Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
- +$94.84at 0.382ITF Hillcrest: Andreas Timini vs Giulio Perego
- +$92.40at 0.328Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 05:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18? | SELL | 0.81 | $40.50 |
| 09-18 04:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.806 | $80.60 |
| 09-18 04:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.73 | $36.50 |
| 09-18 04:33 | XRP Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.66 | $33.00 |
| 09-18 03:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11PM ET | SELL | 0.898 | $89.80 |
| 09-18 03:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.89 | $22.20 |
| 09-18 03:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11PM ET | SELL | 0.78 | $78.00 |
| 09-18 03:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11PM ET | SELL | 0.6167 | $61.67 |
| 09-18 03:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.47 | $47.00 |
| 09-18 02:55 | XRP Up or Down - September 17, 10PM ET | SELL | 0.874 | $87.40 |
| 09-18 02:55 | Solana Up or Down - September 17, 10PM ET | SELL | 0.9402 | $94.02 |
| 09-18 02:27 | XRP Up or Down - September 17, 10PM ET | SELL | 0.661 | $66.10 |
| 09-18 01:36 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | SELL | 0.61 | $61.00 |
| 09-18 01:35 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 9PM ET | SELL | 0.2297009701 | $22.97 |
| 09-18 01:30 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 17, 9PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $11.20 |