PolyBot

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Traders

MoonIsButThere

0x27bacd12cdcd32583328a0782ad003a7fe73cacb

Realised P&L
$-28.65
Volume
$23.8k
Markets traded
889
Open portfolio
$9.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded889
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 18? · Yes0.0010.003$2.50+$1.50
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 70-71°F on October 18? · Yes0.0110.015$1.29+$0.31
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 18? · Yes0.0060.006$1.09+$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 18? · Yes0.0050.004$0.82−$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 18? · Yes0.0800.043$0.56−$0.48
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on October 18? · Yes0.0090.017$0.55+$0.25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 18? · Yes0.0120.011$0.40−$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 18? · Yes0.0010.002$0.39+$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 18? · Yes0.0010.002$0.27+$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on October 18? · Yes0.0060.002$0.20−$0.41
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 18? · Yes0.0050.003$0.20−$0.21
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 18? · Yes0.0010.002$0.20+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on October 18? · Yes0.0400.107$0.16+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 78°F or higher on October 18? · Yes0.0010.003$0.13+$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 18? · Yes0.0070.001$0.07−$0.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 14:04Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 18?BUY0.0051013233$0.40
10-18 13:32Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 18?SELL0.002$0.01
10-18 13:17Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 18?SELL0.002$0.03
09-28 18:38Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 28?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
09-28 18:38Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 28?BUY0.5299998463$1.00
09-28 18:37Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 28?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
09-28 18:37Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 28?BUY0.4299998882$1.00
09-28 18:37Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 28?BUY0.4299998882$1.00
09-28 18:37Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 28?BUY0.7$1.00
09-28 18:37Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 28?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
09-28 18:37Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 28?BUY0.559999776$1.00
08-25 10:44Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 24?SELL0.999$1.04
08-24 12:21Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 24?BUY0.95$1.00
08-24 12:21Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 24?BUY0.97$1.00
08-24 12:21Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 24?BUY0.96$1.00