yuahldj
0x27b0dceebc77ebc59573b818144743b9f1a2209b
- Realised P&L
- $76.8k
- Volume
- $2.22M
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $368.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No | 0.915 | 0.969 | $294.4k | +$16.3k |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.619 | 0.715 | $50.3k | +$6.7k |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes | 0.468 | 0.993 | $19.3k | +$10.2k |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.705 | $4.2k | −$328.44 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.877 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$201.6k |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$170.2kat 0.582Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$54.5kat 0.879Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$27.6kat 0.940Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$15.5kat 0.690Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
- +$14.5kat 0.858US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 17:55 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.7238763922 | $7.9k |
| 10-26 17:54 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.714 | $982.80 |
| 10-09 18:40 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8741706898 | $116.2k |
| 09-21 15:27 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.62 | $11.0k |
| 09-21 15:26 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.86 | $8.5k |
| 09-20 16:56 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.91 | $745.38 |
| 09-20 16:54 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.76 | $3.8k |
| 09-20 16:49 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.8577085013 | $11.7k |
| 09-20 16:49 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.4673759499 | $5.7k |
| 09-20 16:47 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.7563727687 | $951.71 |
| 09-19 13:39 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? | BUY | 0.926 | $58.18 |
| 09-19 13:27 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.925 | $43.7k |
| 09-19 13:27 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.9229378046 | $143.4k |
| 09-19 13:22 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $77.01 |
| 09-19 13:15 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.918 | $5.4k |