Elyotus
0x27af688d31fb83a6287fd5d50729b6db1c4c6ec8
- Realised P&L
- $398.69
- Volume
- $76.8k
- Markets traded
- 167
- Open portfolio
- $6.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded167
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$221.91at 0.883Zuckerberg divorce in 2025?
- +$203.99at 0.320Trump second inauguration gets more viewers than first?
- +$164.50at 0.765US military action against Iran before July?
- +$143.49at 0.380Fear & Greed Index says "Extreme Fear" on Friday?
- +$143.17at 0.880Will Congress grant Trump more funds for deportations?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 15:41 | Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.9792328542 | $800.00 |
| 10-15 15:40 | Will Valérie Pécresse advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.9818188391 | $900.00 |
| 10-15 15:40 | Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.9746852914 | $900.00 |
| 10-15 15:39 | Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.9677742376 | $800.00 |
| 10-15 15:39 | Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.9693484946 | $800.00 |
| 10-15 15:38 | Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.9627468611 | $620.00 |
| 10-15 15:38 | Will Clémence Guetté advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.9585460261 | $510.00 |
| 10-05 08:00 | Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.9811818182 | $215.86 |
| 10-05 07:59 | Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.968 | $48.40 |
| 10-05 07:59 | Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.968 | $48.40 |
| 10-05 07:59 | Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.96 | $345.60 |
| 10-05 07:12 | Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.963 | $40.39 |
| 10-05 07:11 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.9524511847 | $270.52 |
| 10-05 07:10 | Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.9398084 | $281.94 |
| 10-05 07:08 | Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.01781668 | $17.82 |