Pakos95470
0x27a09cb677c6b9b3c05ad3bc47593f6d764ececd
- Realised P&L
- $-68.59
- Volume
- $65.6k
- Markets traded
- 194
- Open portfolio
- $31.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded194
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 17? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.385 | $31.22 | +$1.22 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET · Up | 0.780 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 24? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$604.97at 0.008Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 12?
- +$85.96at 0.268Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 15?
- +$66.31at 0.138Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET
- +$60.59at 0.146Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12?
- +$59.22at 0.236Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 10:55 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on October 17? | BUY | 0.3699999958 | $30.00 |
| 10-17 10:53 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on October 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $77.66 |
| 10-17 01:35 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.3146028292 | $24.46 |
| 10-17 01:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET | BUY | 0.7799999944 | $25.00 |
| 07-23 18:22 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 24? | BUY | 0.3499999838 | $13.00 |
| 07-23 18:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 18:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5699999555 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 18:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | SELL | 0.1 | $3.42 |
| 07-23 18:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.7299999994 | $25.00 |
| 07-23 18:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | SELL | 0.32 | $12.31 |
| 07-23 18:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.6499999987 | $25.00 |
| 07-23 18:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | SELL | 0.34 | $25.00 |
| 07-23 18:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.3399999946 | $25.00 |
| 07-23 18:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | SELL | 0.4472513321 | $30.22 |
| 07-23 18:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.3699999938 | $25.00 |