0x2797700756A63475AfE34bfffda52b5F8cdE044c-1766496960536
0x2797700756a63475afe34bfffda52b5f8cde044c
- Realised P&L
- $-2.9k
- Volume
- $419.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,214
- Open portfolio
- $51.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,214
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solana Up or Down on October 20? · Up | 0.500 | 0.530 | $51.47 | +$2.91 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET · Down | 0.073 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET · Down | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.83 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET · Down | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 8AM ET · Down | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.99 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET · Down | 0.849 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$72.15 |
| XRP Up or Down - September 29, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET · Up | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.50 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10AM ET · Down | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.25 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET · Up | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$803.84at 0.196Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 19?
- +$502.00at 0.500Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on April 23?
- +$500.00at 0.500S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?
- +$479.99at 0.520Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
- +$479.97at 0.520S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 06:27 | Solana Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $50.05 |
| 10-19 22:13 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 6PM ET | BUY | 0.8201666667 | $49.21 |
| 10-19 22:12 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 10-19 21:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 19? | BUY | 0.91 | $50.05 |
| 10-19 21:11 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $59.94 |
| 10-19 17:03 | Solana Up or Down - October 19, 12PM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 10-19 15:09 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.77 | $34.65 |
| 10-19 13:33 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on October 19? | SELL | 0.93 | $51.15 |
| 10-19 13:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.8199999992 | $43.00 |
| 10-19 13:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | BUY | 0.0731930467 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 12:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 12:38 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on October 19? | BUY | 0.9 | $49.50 |
| 09-30 12:21 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 8AM ET | BUY | 0.6799999836 | $4.99 |
| 09-30 12:10 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.8488235294 | $72.15 |
| 09-30 12:10 | Solana Up or Down - September 30, 7AM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $77.44 |