0x2795B475Bc8EAB2ec6d7555E5cAb6709994aB184-1772456494715
0x2795b475bc8eab2ec6d7555e5cab6709994ab184
- Realised P&L
- $92.26
- Volume
- $11.5k
- Markets traded
- 114
- Open portfolio
- $490.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded114
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 3? · Yes | 0.986 | 0.981 | $294.15 | −$1.65 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 4? · Yes | 0.981 | 0.982 | $196.40 | +$0.20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET · Up | 0.726 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Trump say "Oil" during Memphis Roundtable? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.40 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET · Up | 0.283 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET · Down | 0.648 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET · Up | 0.844 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET · Up | 0.775 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.98at 0.897Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
- +$8.21at 0.916Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
- +$6.35at 0.947Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
- +$4.48at 0.810Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$3.46at 0.963Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 4? | BUY | 0.981 | $196.20 |
| 11-01 18:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 3? | BUY | 0.986 | $295.80 |
| 10-31 21:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.989 | $197.80 |
| 10-30 11:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30? | BUY | 0.986 | $197.20 |
| 10-29 17:51 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.7028792485 | $274.22 |
| 10-29 14:17 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.7689487366 | $300.00 |
| 10-14 06:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $116.40 |
| 10-08 17:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $128.70 |
| 10-08 17:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $124.80 |
| 10-06 19:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.9433333333 | $113.20 |
| 09-27 08:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $118.80 |
| 09-22 07:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $117.60 |
| 09-17 06:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $117.60 |
| 09-16 15:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $100.00 |
| 09-16 15:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $100.00 |