PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x278E990d9124ee782c1636D1F5102F16827F38fB-1758198833059

0x278e990d9124ee782c1636d1f5102f16827f38fb

Realised P&L
$64.48
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$199.54

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration51.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
LoL: Valerion vs Lodis (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage · Valerion0.5280.535$199.54+$2.58
Will Europe win the 2025 Ryder Cup? · No0.3800.000$0.00−$1.00
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs INOX Division (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs · Sashi Esport0.4800.000$0.00−$4.80
US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet · Corentin Moutet0.7200.000$0.00−$7.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 00:11LoL: Valerion vs Lodis (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss StageBUY0.5370310277$271.74
09-17 03:08Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group CBUY0.59$60.18
09-15 03:01Jaguars vs. BroncosBUY0.49$49.00
08-31 02:32US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin MoutetBUY0.72$7.20
08-29 09:40Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs INOX Division (BO3) - Exort Fiesta PlayoffsBUY0.48$4.80
08-29 03:08Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix MercuryBUY0.77$7.70
10-27 02:25Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?SELL0.049$1.73
10-21 10:11Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?BUY0.209999979$7.40
10-21 10:11Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?SELL0.79$7.47
10-14 01:02Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?BUY0.7399999027$7.00
10-08 02:14Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8?BUY0.5499999587$4.00
09-29 03:22US government shutdown by October 1?SELL0.59$2.64
09-28 16:04Will USA win the 2025 Ryder Cup?SELL0.974$1.38
09-27 07:17Will USA win the 2025 Ryder Cup?BUY0.7$1.00
09-27 07:17Will Europe win the 2025 Ryder Cup?BUY0.3799999012$1.00