0x278E990d9124ee782c1636D1F5102F16827F38fB-1758198833059
0x278e990d9124ee782c1636d1f5102f16827f38fb
- Realised P&L
- $64.48
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $199.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Valerion vs Lodis (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage · Valerion | 0.528 | 0.535 | $199.54 | +$2.58 |
| Will Europe win the 2025 Ryder Cup? · No | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs INOX Division (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs · Sashi Esport | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.80 |
| US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet · Corentin Moutet | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.75at 0.502Jaguars vs. Broncos
- +$40.59at 0.602Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C
- +$3.27at 0.550Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8?
- +$2.21at 0.779Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury
- +$0.47at 0.740Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 00:11 | LoL: Valerion vs Lodis (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage | BUY | 0.5370310277 | $271.74 |
| 09-17 03:08 | Valorant: Team Liquid vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C | BUY | 0.59 | $60.18 |
| 09-15 03:01 | Jaguars vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.49 | $49.00 |
| 08-31 02:32 | US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin Moutet | BUY | 0.72 | $7.20 |
| 08-29 09:40 | Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs INOX Division (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs | BUY | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 08-29 03:08 | Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury | BUY | 0.77 | $7.70 |
| 10-27 02:25 | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | SELL | 0.049 | $1.73 |
| 10-21 10:11 | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | BUY | 0.209999979 | $7.40 |
| 10-21 10:11 | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | SELL | 0.79 | $7.47 |
| 10-14 01:02 | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | BUY | 0.7399999027 | $7.00 |
| 10-08 02:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? | BUY | 0.5499999587 | $4.00 |
| 09-29 03:22 | US government shutdown by October 1? | SELL | 0.59 | $2.64 |
| 09-28 16:04 | Will USA win the 2025 Ryder Cup? | SELL | 0.974 | $1.38 |
| 09-27 07:17 | Will USA win the 2025 Ryder Cup? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 07:17 | Will Europe win the 2025 Ryder Cup? | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |