Krava123
0x278bb660c1af8b85b19eb9c05579fd6469aab63a
- Realised P&L
- $-587.04
- Volume
- $114.8k
- Markets traded
- 880
- Open portfolio
- $47.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded880
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$175.47at 0.743Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $215 on April 24?
- +$175.06at 0.745Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on April 25?
- +$172.91at 0.743Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on April 24?
- +$170.50at 0.742Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 8?
- +$152.26at 0.744Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 09:16 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.43 | $17.20 |
| 09-18 08:40 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.61 | $18.30 |
| 09-18 08:39 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.997 | $11.96 |
| 09-17 10:12 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.41 | $12.30 |
| 09-17 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.52 | $20.80 |
| 09-16 11:49 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.33 | $13.20 |
| 09-15 08:35 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 09-15 08:26 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 09-15 06:53 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.9 | $17.90 |
| 09-14 09:47 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.58875 | $23.55 |
| 09-14 05:05 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.2 | $8.00 |
| 09-13 17:50 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.51675 | $20.67 |
| 09-13 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 09-13 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.40 |
| 09-13 08:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.80 |