Krava123
0x278bb660c1af8b85b19eb9c05579fd6469aab63a
- Realised P&L
- $-425.01
- Volume
- $106.0k
- Markets traded
- 610
- Open portfolio
- $50.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded610
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.86at 0.918Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on April 28?
- +$18.02at 0.916Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 29?
- +$17.00at 0.163Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on August 4?
- +$16.18at 0.190Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 2?
- +$15.78at 0.210Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 04:57 | Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.28 | $5.60 |
| 08-04 04:56 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.62 |
| 08-04 04:56 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 08-04 04:55 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.36 | $2.88 |
| 08-04 04:55 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.36 | $2.88 |
| 08-03 14:30 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.92 | $20.00 |
| 08-03 12:34 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-03 07:16 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C or higher on August 3? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 08-03 07:15 | Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.3332091284 | $6.90 |
| 08-02 05:29 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.45 | $6.75 |
| 08-01 16:41 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.97 |
| 07-31 16:56 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.36 | $4.68 |
| 07-31 07:37 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 07-31 05:02 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 07-30 20:00 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.38 | $7.60 |