PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb21A19721F83f5fdF12343e42B6CC25a95149fE5-1757239846111

0x278a71b632e5dcbf21f9e2bf8c40fcb839fb6ad8

Realised P&L
$-196.79
Volume
$22.0k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$16.63

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration90.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 12-18? · Yes0.0310.009$16.63−$40.64
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on September 15? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$36.36
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Hokori - Game 1 Winner · Hokori0.1300.000$0.00−$16.13
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 21-27? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$50.05
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 5-11? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$35.49
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs · Aurora0.2400.000$0.00−$119.17
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$35.86
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 12? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$35.47
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Hokori (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage · Hokori0.0630.000$0.00−$48.11
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs · Team Spirit0.2200.000$0.00−$48.05
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$48.30
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on September 13? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$36.19
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs · Team Spirit0.3620.000$0.00−$22.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 07:01Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 October 12-18?BUY0.031$57.27
10-11 16:57Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO5) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsBUY0.3624656872$22.13
10-10 20:54Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsSELL0.999$592.66
10-10 16:21Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsBUY0.43$255.10
10-10 12:52Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsBUY0.2399999998$119.17
10-10 11:59Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsBUY0.2199999999$48.05
10-08 17:32Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?BUY0.0129552093$48.30
10-08 05:42Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 5-11?BUY0.0094957707$35.49
10-08 05:42Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11?SELL0.0880746699$41.28
10-07 05:12Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11?SELL0.0670960061$20.97
10-06 08:42Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11?BUY0.0298763951$23.34
10-02 15:20Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.030307791$35.86
09-26 04:46Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 21-27?BUY0.0189925035$50.05
09-19 09:08Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Hokori - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.129999999$16.13
09-19 09:05Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Hokori (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageBUY0.062915794$48.11