rgredxc
0x277f24fa8529957583b55c14557f5a660058b64d
- Realised P&L
- $36.78
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $832.79
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jordan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No | 0.940 | 0.935 | $558.20 | −$2.98 |
| Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31? · No | 0.976 | 0.964 | $274.60 | −$3.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.05at 0.727Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$16.00at 0.810Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
- +$-3.27at 0.910Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 11:31 | Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.976 | $278.16 |
| 07-21 09:23 | Will Jordan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.94 | $561.18 |
| 05-13 08:55 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.907 | $285.70 |
| 04-12 11:33 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.727 | $672.48 |