0x276e472012f45abf44e89ff230f8e02b05997f9b
0x276e472012f45abf44e89ff230f8e02b05997f9b
- Realised P&L
- $-198.44
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $5.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lost Weekend (Phoebe Bridgers) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.059 | $5.08 | −$0.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.57at 0.353Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
- +$14.91at 0.397Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
- +$12.48at 0.445Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
- +$12.06at 0.293Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
- +$4.92at 0.803Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 19:26 | Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.01 |
| 10-27 08:59 | Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.01 |
| 10-27 00:02 | Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.03 |
| 10-27 00:02 | Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.01 |
| 10-27 00:02 | Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.01 |
| 10-27 00:02 | Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.01 |
| 10-25 09:45 | Will Lost Weekend (Phoebe Bridgers) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | BUY | 0.0659999981 | $1.09 |
| 10-25 09:45 | Will Lost Weekend (Phoebe Bridgers) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | BUY | 0.0659999981 | $1.09 |
| 10-25 05:11 | Will Lost Weekend (Phoebe Bridgers) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | BUY | 0.0649999991 | $1.09 |
| 10-22 20:42 | Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | BUY | 0.4199999739 | $2.57 |
| 10-21 09:08 | Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | SELL | 0.627 | $5.91 |
| 10-19 01:45 | Will Lost Weekend (Phoebe Bridgers) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | BUY | 0.0589999988 | $1.04 |
| 10-18 20:17 | Will Lost Weekend (Phoebe Bridgers) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | BUY | 0.0589999983 | $1.15 |
| 10-18 17:50 | Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999767 | $3.68 |
| 10-16 15:59 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | SELL | 0.23 | $6.76 |