0x275fef0dcaf479378b5115430a1f32003168e484
- Realised P&L
- $3.07
- Volume
- $83.64
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $6.40
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.400 | 0.590 | $1.48 | +$0.47 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.285 | $1.24 | +$0.24 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.760 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.260 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.425 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.230 | $0.51 | −$0.49 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No | 0.710 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.51at 0.227Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$3.32at 0.237Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$1.38at 0.426Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
- +$1.25at 0.450Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
- +$1.02at 0.500Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $316 Week of August 24 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 17:35 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 09:18 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 22:55 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 14:52 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 06:49 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $352.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 22:34 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 23:23 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 14:40 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 13:31 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 05:28 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 21:15 | Will Meta (META) close above $660 on September 10? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 12:50 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.6799996464 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 13:01 | Will Chewy say "Automation" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 17:45 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 11:46 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |