0x27556BEa4bE4208881c2bE8D1CC1d78019a730A0-1748004681383
0x27556bea4be4208881c2be8d1cc1d78019a730a0
- Realised P&L
- $-12.45
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $90.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? · No | 0.908 | 0.988 | $84.97 | +$6.88 |
| Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.050 | $6.00 | −$18.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7? · No | 0.063 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.15 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.64at 0.494Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
- +$4.77at 0.452Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
- +$3.95at 0.210Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on July 1?
- +$3.68at 0.537Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
- +$3.46at 0.270Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 09:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in June? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.98 |
| 06-14 13:22 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.53 | $4.21 |
| 04-17 14:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April? | SELL | 0.951 | $108.34 |
| 04-02 15:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April? | SELL | 0.985 | $9.78 |
| 03-13 03:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET | BUY | 0.4390001031 | $8.25 |
| 03-12 15:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 12? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $8.48 |
| 03-12 15:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | SELL | 0.53 | $8.62 |
| 03-12 15:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3899999752 | $6.26 |
| 02-12 03:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | SELL | 0.59 | $4.72 |
| 02-12 03:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.359999926 | $2.84 |
| 12-30 12:11 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025? | BUY | 0.56 | $5.60 |
| 05-03 09:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.12 |
| 04-29 07:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94000 and $96000 on May 2? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 02-21 14:23 | Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 21? | BUY | 0.98 | $97.36 |