0x2749fcc3ff883f4e8c72c6b866363307f830e996
0x2749fcc3ff883f4e8c72c6b866363307f830e996
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $70.2k
- Markets traded
- 623
- Open portfolio
- $155.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded623
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$913.19at 0.256Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 13?
- +$804.87at 0.553Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
- +$323.39at 0.326Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 11?
- +$179.33at 0.367Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 30?
- +$95.90at 0.116Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 21:43 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.3494203733 | $34.00 |
| 10-14 21:32 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.2125165444 | $100.00 |
| 10-14 14:54 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.4455445236 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 14:54 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.0908265213 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 14:54 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 08:23 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.2786800121 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 08:23 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 04:34 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.5724638069 | $128.51 |
| 10-14 04:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.8908959344 | $200.00 |
| 10-14 03:23 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.0206382729 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 03:22 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C or higher on October 14? | BUY | 0.019872114 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 00:38 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C or higher on October 14? | BUY | 0.0419478747 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 00:37 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.0589054669 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 00:37 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 18:59 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $5.00 |