PolyBot

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Traders

hol-div

0x273dbcb143b7759c3ce2b6bac8a511ffa49fd0ed

Realised P&L
$-7.3k
Volume
$86.5k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$2.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration72.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.6370.166$1.3k$3.8k
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3140.065$1.1k$4.1k
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · Yes0.2010.046$311.72$1.0k
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.1240.000$0.00$500.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.2210.000$0.00$1.5k
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes0.1140.000$0.00$1.8k
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$1.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-11 21:00US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?BUY0.2099999994$250.16
03-11 21:00Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.6442086282$750.00
03-11 21:00Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.3299065402$400.00
03-11 20:59Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.2399920803$300.00
03-11 20:59Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.052$100.00
03-11 18:40US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?BUY0.1989554837$200.00
03-11 18:39Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.6447652615$1000.00
03-11 18:39Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.3297665928$500.00
03-11 18:39Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.2298282608$400.00
03-11 18:38Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.05$100.00
03-11 17:53US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?BUY0.1974926335$500.00
03-11 17:53Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.6416803946$1000.00
03-11 17:52Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.3299476291$825.00
03-11 13:15Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.3297804899$300.32
03-11 13:15US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?BUY0.1899999986$100.00