OrionStars
0x2733be3f5f1cf6c089445aef365653cb8c65a3c4
- Realised P&L
- $-606.13
- Volume
- $86.0k
- Markets traded
- 8,120
- Open portfolio
- $107.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,120
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$425.54at 0.418Solana Up or Down - September 3, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
- +$293.53at 0.677Solana Up or Down - September 3, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
- +$247.16at 0.448Solana Up or Down - September 4, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
- +$218.36at 0.563Solana Up or Down - September 4, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
- +$211.04at 0.682Solana Up or Down - September 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 14:14 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-28 14:12 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-28 13:04 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.33 | $10.32 |
| 09-28 13:04 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.35 |
| 09-28 13:04 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.94 | $5.64 |
| 09-28 12:51 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.87 |
| 09-28 12:35 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.76 | $12.35 |
| 09-28 08:45 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-28 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 09-28 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.6 | $2.05 |
| 09-28 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.6 | $6.66 |
| 09-28 04:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.77 | $16.79 |
| 09-22 17:08 | Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $23.00 |
| 09-16 16:25 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8143430526 | $45.24 |
| 09-16 09:56 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $6.82 |