Atenilson
0x272ee4e633ea7f8882a57babf62f6cd2b3e96e99
- Realised P&L
- $369.92
- Volume
- $351.3k
- Markets traded
- 898
- Open portfolio
- $112.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded898
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$717.29at 0.186Will it rain in Denver, CO on August 31?
- +$171.32at 0.396Will it rain in Houston, TX on August 31?
- +$107.02at 0.023Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on April 13?
- +$69.56at 0.447Will it rain in San Francisco, CA on September 3?
- +$65.53at 0.063Will it rain in Boston, MA on September 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 03:23 | Will it rain in Atlanta, GA on September 20? | BUY | 0.095 | $3.80 |
| 09-20 02:46 | Will Taylor Brown be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 11)? | BUY | 0.81 | $3.35 |
| 09-20 02:19 | Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on September 20? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.95 |
| 09-20 02:15 | Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on September 20? | BUY | 0.94 | $18.79 |
| 09-20 02:14 | Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on September 20? | BUY | 0.93 | $18.60 |
| 09-20 01:25 | Will it rain in Washington, DC on September 20? | SELL | 0.56 | $22.40 |
| 09-20 01:23 | Will it rain in Washington, DC on September 20? | BUY | 0.11 | $4.51 |
| 09-20 01:21 | Will it rain in Chicago, IL on September 19? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.60 |
| 09-20 00:49 | Will it rain in New York, NY on September 19? | BUY | 0.028236678 | $2.40 |
| 09-20 00:16 | Will it rain in New York, NY on September 19? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 09-19 23:47 | Will it rain in Miami, FL on September 19? | BUY | 0.75 | $9.00 |
| 09-19 23:41 | Will it rain in New York, NY on September 19? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.43 |
| 09-19 23:05 | Will it rain in Denver, CO on September 19? | BUY | 0.0347643979 | $0.20 |
| 09-19 02:02 | Will Dee Valladares be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 11)? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.14 |
| 09-19 01:43 | Will it rain in Chicago, IL on September 19? | BUY | 0.93 | $40.92 |