0x2Fd7b4a5C50C4c1c1Db46E6Af2D0366b0F9325B9-1768984746261
0x272e68e73cbc730875bac9d40f89c4e490573a34
- Realised P&L
- $-25.43
- Volume
- $20.2k
- Markets traded
- 187
- Open portfolio
- $23.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded187
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.335 | $15.76 | −$0.24 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 20? · Yes | 0.443 | 0.435 | $5.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 20? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.105 | $1.47 | −$1.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.49at 0.433Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 28?
- +$40.33at 0.108Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 6?
- +$36.63at 0.315Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on August 24?
- +$34.05at 0.376Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 11?
- +$24.98at 0.291Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 08:13 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.2399999943 | $3.37 |
| 09-20 08:12 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.4426229363 | $6.00 |
| 09-20 08:12 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.2078083333 | $9.97 |
| 09-20 02:33 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.3187117679 | $15.30 |
| 09-20 02:33 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $16.00 |
| 09-20 02:28 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.36 | $2.37 |
| 09-20 02:27 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.35 | $12.64 |
| 09-20 02:27 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.5065411243 | $18.29 |
| 09-19 05:54 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.3176377895 | $11.47 |
| 09-19 05:54 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.421527296 | $18.00 |
| 09-19 05:48 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.62 |
| 09-19 05:48 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.8635730237 | $19.34 |
| 09-19 05:47 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 09-18 22:23 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.353063751 | $10.73 |
| 09-18 22:22 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.4013221775 | $13.00 |