PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2Fd7b4a5C50C4c1c1Db46E6Af2D0366b0F9325B9-1768984746261

0x272e68e73cbc730875bac9d40f89c4e490573a34

Realised P&L
$-25.43
Volume
$20.2k
Markets traded
187
Open portfolio
$23.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded187
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21? · Yes0.3400.335$15.76$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 20? · Yes0.4430.435$5.90$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 20? · Yes0.2400.105$1.47$1.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 08:13Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 20?BUY0.2399999943$3.37
09-20 08:12Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 20?BUY0.4426229363$6.00
09-20 08:12Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 21?SELL0.2078083333$9.97
09-20 02:33Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 21?BUY0.3187117679$15.30
09-20 02:33Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21?BUY0.3399999966$16.00
09-20 02:28Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 20?SELL0.36$2.37
09-20 02:27Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 20?SELL0.35$12.64
09-20 02:27Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 20?SELL0.5065411243$18.29
09-19 05:54Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 20?BUY0.3176377895$11.47
09-19 05:54Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 20?BUY0.421527296$18.00
09-19 05:48Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 19?SELL0.08$1.62
09-19 05:48Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 19?SELL0.8635730237$19.34
09-19 05:47Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 19?SELL0.89$8.90
09-18 22:23Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 19?BUY0.353063751$10.73
09-18 22:22Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 19?BUY0.4013221775$13.00